pavyedav

boredom, berkeley, and other thoughts...1

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Monday, August 11, 2008

Economics as a Limitation to American Technological Advancement

In this century alone, we have seen advancements in technology that were never thought possible. The ability to have telemedicine or to alter a screen through simple hand gestures have already revolutionized the fields of medicine and information technology, respectively. Given all of the intellect, diligence, and labor that has been used, there are still limits to what we as consumers can experience. Currently, one of the major obstacles in the advancement of society, at least in the U.S., is economics.

Economic restrictions, among other things, have probably set the United States back in its technical prowess and intellectual domination, as we are no longer able to boast about revolutionary technologies and creative ideas. After all, many IT jobs are heading overseas due to the discovery of cheap labor, and even more troubling, higher quality workers, both in discipline and intellect. So where does that put the United States? More students, myself included, hope to use a technical background to propel them into higher-paying jobs in the business world rather than continuing more in the technical side. So economics comes into the picture for two reasons. The first is pretty obvious. Occupations in business, namely investment banking and consulting, pay much higher than jobs in technical industry and academia, and therefore are attracting more students. My question, because legitimately I have no clue, is why is that the case? (also, if anyone knows, is this phenomenon unique to the U.S.?) Naturally, one would think that the people who enabled those to use Microsoft Word and Excel, and allowed me to type this onto a screen visible to anyone who wants to access it, should be given more fiscal appreciation. But that is not so. Instead, those who directly help the rich become richer will inevitably be paid more. That is a fact that I will not contend at this moment. So for now, I will consider that fair, since that isn't my main point. It's just one way in which economics is hurting our potential in technological advancement.

The second way economics is hindering progress is not as forgivable to me. A problem in the deployment of technology today is the issue of whether the technology is profitable enough to introduce to the general population. The quality of life of each American could be vastly improved with certain technologies, but these cannot be used because large companies do not see profit in their deployment. One of the most egregious examples is such internet/cellular service providers (ISPs) as AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast limiting only certain bandwidths for use by general consumers. It has been shown that we use only a tiny fraction of the electromagnetic spectrum, as these large companies buy rights to these certain frequency ranges and sell their use to general consumers like ourselves. Currently, there is technology developed/being developed that will allow for dynamic allocation of bandwidth among nearby devices, which will ultimately reduce interference (though various multiple access techniques) and increase the speed of the connections. However, ISPs do not see any reason to adopt this technology right now, as it will simply tear into the profits they are realizing from the limited bandwidths since this technology will be more expensive. We can easily have much faster internet and data service in our computers and phones, but we won't unless the large corporations see reason to do so. In the end, the electromagnetic spectrum is a hot commodity, and naturally, access to such a precious resource will come down to who will pay more for it.

Business is impossible to avoid, but it's a shame it sometimes has to come at the cost of advancing technology and our qualities of life.

5 Comments:

  • Very interesting, but in some regards I think economics/business is actually helpful in driving innovation. Like with the bandwidth example, clearly you understand the issue, so you, as a researcher, can develop a more cost effective way to deploy this dynamic bandwidth allocation system and sell that idea to ISPs. You're motives could be purely selfish: you want faster connections, you want money, fame, etc. so economics is pushing people to research these kinds of solutions.

    And then there's competition. I'm sure that ISPs have people working on making it cost effective (and therefore probably better) because they want to deploy it and get ahead of their competition. And of course, once one company deploys it, the other companies are forced to deploy whatever they have so far or they risk falling behind.

    The economics of it all drives competition and thus innovation. But I do understand your point and it's a shame that companies won't take a financial hit for the betterment of society.

    Also after working at vmware, it's really shocking how many engineers are from india/china. Like I'd say less than 25% of the interns did/are doing undergrad in the states. scary...

    By Blogger Akshay Krishnamurthy, At August 12, 2008 10:53 AM  

  • Good points, Pav. Interesting argument about the discrepancy in salaries between jobs, but I think a little more analysis clears up your inquiry: Assume that an investment banker makes $100k per year (base+bonus) and works, on average, about 90 hours a week. Further assuming 50 weeks in a year accounting for vacations, that's 4500 worked hours per year. Hourly "wage" then is approximately $22-$23/hour (I'm not making judgment on whether that's enough/not enough, etc. - I don't have any experience with ibanking, so I am certainly not qualified to speak with authority). Just an observation, at best. Regardless, I think the reason there is this perpetuated "assumption" that banking is so lucrative is that the focus is on absolute monetary value - for example, how much money is made in a year as opposed to how much money per time invested or per other opportunities forgone. Naturally, this is a result of the salary vs. wage arrangement, but I think that falls beyond the scope of your discussion.

    To the core of your post: it's a very unique analysis. I don't know about the technology behind your argument, so I can't comment on that. I will say, though, I think it's tough to pinpoint "economics" as the culprit for what you're impugning. After all, to the extent that economics is a science that explains/provides rationale for human behavior, it functions as more of a course manual than a how-to-live guide. In short, I think people will go for profit because it's just natural. It's the same reason you wouldn't participate in the stock issuance of a financially unsound company just because they had a good idea (but lacked infrastructure, proper supply chain management, etc.) - though the idea is appealing, some semblance of self-interest will always be considered.

    Nice post though. Definitely some great arguments.

    By Anonymous AR, At August 12, 2008 12:23 PM  

  • I strongly agree with this assessment. Another industry that is significantly influenced by these trends is the car industry. With the constant innovation and competition , car companies must thread a fine line where they offer the most appealing product but still secure their future business. They can only make certain they keep their customers if they offer a product that works well if maintained properly (consumer benefit) but at the same time, is certain to break down (manufacturer/car company benefit). This balance is difficult to establish, let alone maintain, because if the car breaks down earlier than expected, the company has lost a possibly loyal customer; but, if the car lasts much longer than expected, this delays the car company's monetary benefits and can even put the business in jeopardy depending on the market strength.

    This may be a bit off topic, but it is noteworthy to see how these trends affect those working in the car industry. It is almost a conflict of interest. As consumers in their own right, these workers want to drive a reliable vehicle as any other person would. Yet, they receive their salaries from the rate of manufacturing, which is contingent upon demand. However, the demand is dependent upon customer loyalty and car breakdown. As i mentioned before, this goes back to the economics of the industry itself.

    compelling post, well done pav.

    By Anonymous Vivek Yedavalli, At August 12, 2008 2:35 PM  

  • This post has been removed by the author.

    By Blogger Meghana, At August 13, 2008 1:33 AM  

  • Good post, Pav.

    And, to a certain extent, I agree. But you're undermining the importance of economies in encouraging innovation in the first place. In regards to the AT&T example, I think you're underestimating the market forces at play here - the fact that it's not being developed yet means that it hasn't reached its effecient equilibrium yet...IMO. Once it becomes efficent to produce and distribute the technology, it'll happen. Yes, I understand that the social costs are bothering you and the lack of consumer choice is frustrating - but I'm a firm believer in the market making the right [and optimal] decisions.

    You also have to reestablish your framework for innovation - in the 1800s, it might have been heavy industry and the steam engine....now, it's finance capital [JUST LIKE LENIN PREDICTED AAHHH]. No, really though - that's why ibankers, consultants make so much money - we're looking at capitalism at its best.

    Finally, don't underestimate the innovation that we have right now. It's easy to take it for granted. But there are substantial push factors in the economy right now that we wouldn't have under any other sort of institution [ie, USSR stagnation post 1928.....]

    By Blogger Meghana, At August 13, 2008 1:34 AM  

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